Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.48
assuming max odds 3.16
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mantova (Local): 39.24%; Cesena FC (Visit): 31.97%; Draw: 28.79%. For Cesena FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV +1.03%E +0.325%K +0.475%G +0.005% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -17.37%E -6.05%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.11%E -0.621%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 18:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -17.60%E -8.38%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -25.14%E -9.67%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-17 18:32 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.85%E -6.84%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69% | 2.1% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |