La scuola delle quote

Mantova v Cesena FC

Inizio: 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mantova (Casa)

Previsione 39.24%2.55quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.61%39.31%39.26%40.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.332.332.4847.62%42.92%42.92%40.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cesena FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.97%3.13quota equa
EV +1.03%
Vantaggio +0.325%
Kelly +0.475%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.32%31.73%32.09%33.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.882.803.1638.02%34.78%35.71%31.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.79%3.47quota equa
EV -2.11%
Vantaggio -0.621%
Kelly -0.880%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.68%28.96%28.64%31.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.603.143.203.4038.46%31.82%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV +1.03%E +0.325%K +0.475%G +0.005%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 18:45
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 18:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:40
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:54
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -17.37%E -6.05%K -9.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 13:34
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.11%E -0.621%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 18:30
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 18:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-17 18:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 13:35
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 13:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:25
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 18:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:25
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:10
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 13:34
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -17.60%E -8.38%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -25.14%E -9.67%K -15.71%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:32
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 18:25
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:15
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 18:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-17 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.85%E -6.84%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-17 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-17 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-17 13:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-03-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.1%2026-03-17 18:50