مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mantova v Cesena FC

البداية: 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mantova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.24%2.55السعر العادل
EV -2.69%
الأفضلية -1.08%
Kelly -1.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.61%39.31%39.26%40.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.332.332.4847.62%42.92%42.92%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cesena FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.97%3.13السعر العادل
EV +1.03%
الأفضلية +0.325%
Kelly +0.475%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.32%31.73%32.09%33.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.882.803.1638.02%34.78%35.71%31.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.79%3.47السعر العادل
EV -2.11%
الأفضلية -0.621%
Kelly -0.880%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.68%28.96%28.64%31.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.603.143.203.4038.46%31.82%31.25%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV +1.03%E +0.325%K +0.475%G +0.005%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 18:45
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 18:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:40
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:54
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -17.37%E -6.05%K -9.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 13:34
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.11%E -0.621%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 18:30
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 18:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-17 18:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 13:35
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 13:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:25
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 18:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:25
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:10
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 13:34
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -17.60%E -8.38%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -25.14%E -9.67%K -15.71%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:32
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 18:25
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:15
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 18:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-17 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.85%E -6.84%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-17 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-17 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-17 13:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-03-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.1%2026-03-17 18:50