L’École des cotes

Mantova v Cesena FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mantova (Local)

Prévision 39.24%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.61%39.31%39.26%40.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.332.332.4847.62%42.92%42.92%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cesena FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.97%3.13cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.325%
Kelly +0.475%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.32%31.73%32.09%33.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.882.803.1638.02%34.78%35.71%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.79%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -0.880%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%28.96%28.64%31.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.143.203.4038.46%31.82%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV +1.03%E +0.325%K +0.475%G +0.005%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-17 18:45
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 18:50
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 18:40
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:54
BetUS2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 18:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 18:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -17.37%E -6.05%K -9.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:55
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-17 18:55
Codere (IT)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 13:34
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.11%E -0.621%K -0.880%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 18:30
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 13:35
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 18:54
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 18:45
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-17 18:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 13:35
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 13:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:25
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 18:10
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 18:25
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 18:25
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:10
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-17 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 13:34
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-17 18:15
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -17.60%E -8.38%K -16.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -25.14%E -9.67%K -15.71%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-17 18:32
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-17 18:25
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 18:15
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:25
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 18:25
Parions Sport (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-17 18:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-17 18:25
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.85%E -6.84%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-17 18:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-17 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-17 13:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-03-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-17 18:55
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.1%2026-03-17 18:50