La escuela de los momiosMantova v Cesena FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mantova (Local)
Predicción 39.24%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.61%39.31%39.26%40.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.332.332.4847.62%42.92%42.92%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cesena FC (Visitante)
Predicción 31.97%3.13momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.325%
Kelly +0.475%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.32%31.73%32.09%33.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.882.803.1638.02%34.78%35.71%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.79%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.621%
Kelly -0.880%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%28.96%28.64%31.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.603.143.203.4038.46%31.82%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -4.65%E -1.91%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV +1.03%E +0.325%K +0.475%G +0.005% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -0.891%E -0.288%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.90%EV -2.69%E -1.08%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.32%EV -1.53%E -0.497%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.78%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:54 |
| BetUS | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.73%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -10.17%E -3.26%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -17.37%E -6.05%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -4.09%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.33%EV -5.04%E -2.08%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.26%EV -5.69%E -1.93%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -3.55%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 13:34 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.11%E -0.621%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 18:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-17 18:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -7.29%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -19.39%E -6.92%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -3.87%E -1.58%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.88%E -3.12%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.23%EV -8.57%E -3.68%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.65%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.12%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.99%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-17 13:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -8.97%E -3.86%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -6.43%E -1.98%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.10%EV -17.60%E -8.38%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.32%EV -10.48%E -3.74%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 31.58%EV -25.14%E -9.67%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.63%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.07%EV -11.12%E -4.00%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.30%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-17 18:32 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.87%E -2.46%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 18:15 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -7.00%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.75%E -3.47%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-17 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.63%E -4.54%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-17 18:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.61%EV -14.85%E -6.84%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.26%EV -12.08%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.14%EV -15.07%E -5.11%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-17 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -13.68%E -5.07%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.31%E -2.96%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.93%EV -11.71%E -5.21%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.45%EV -15.92%E -6.05%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.63%EV -17.08%E -5.93%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-17 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.16% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69% | 2.1% | 2026-03-17 18:50 |