Language:English
Cesena FC v Monza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cesena FC (Local)
Prediction 30.67%3.26fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +0.216%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.25%30.59%30.54%31.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.073.003.5037.04%32.52%33.33%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Monza (Visit)
Prediction 39.78%2.51fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.35%39.84%39.87%43.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.302.4547.62%44.16%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.55%3.38fair odd
EV +0.487%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.203%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%29.57%29.59%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.33%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cesena FC (Local): 30.67%; Monza (Visit): 39.78%; Draw: 29.55%. For Cesena FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +7.34%E +2.10%K +2.94%G +0.216% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.13%EV -15.28%E -7.17%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 18:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:57 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -14.88%E -6.95%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV +0.595%E +0.181%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -16.47%E -7.84%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.94%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.43%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.77%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.487%E +0.143%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 18:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.88%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.47%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.70%E -5.27%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.45%E -3.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.51%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-03 18:58 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.20%E -7.48%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |