La scuola delle quote

Cesena FC v Monza

Inizio: 2026-03-03 19:04 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cesena FC (Casa)

Previsione 30.67%3.26quota equa
EV +7.34%
Vantaggio +2.10%
Kelly +2.94%
Crescita +0.216%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.25%30.59%30.54%31.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.073.003.5037.04%32.52%33.33%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Monza (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.78%2.51quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.35%39.84%39.87%43.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.262.302.4547.62%44.16%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.55%3.38quota equa
EV +0.487%
Vantaggio +0.143%
Kelly +0.203%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.69%29.57%29.59%31.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.33%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +7.34%E +2.10%K +2.94%G +0.216%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.13%EV -15.28%E -7.17%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 18:53
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:57
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -14.88%E -6.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV +0.595%E +0.181%K +0.261%G +0.002%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:01
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -16.47%E -7.84%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 19:01
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 18:59
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.94%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:00
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.43%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:01
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:01
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:01
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.77%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 18:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.487%E +0.143%K +0.203%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-03 19:01
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:00
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 18:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 18:58
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:01
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.88%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 19:00
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.47%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:01
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.70%E -5.27%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.45%E -3.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-03 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 18:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:01
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-03 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-03 18:59
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 19:00
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.51%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-03 18:58
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.20%E -7.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-03 19:01
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.2%2026-03-03 19:00