L’École des cotes

Cesena FC v Monza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-03 19:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cesena FC (Local)

Prévision 30.67%3.26cote équitable
EV +7.34%
Avantage +2.10%
Kelly +2.94%
Croissance +0.216%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.25%30.59%30.54%31.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.073.003.5037.04%32.52%33.33%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monza (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.78%2.51cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.35%39.84%39.87%43.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.302.4547.62%44.16%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.55%3.38cote équitable
EV +0.487%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.203%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.69%29.57%29.59%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.33%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +7.34%E +2.10%K +2.94%G +0.216%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.13%EV -15.28%E -7.17%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 18:53
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:57
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -14.88%E -6.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV +0.595%E +0.181%K +0.261%G +0.002%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:01
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -16.47%E -7.84%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 19:01
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 18:59
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.94%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:00
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.43%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:01
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:01
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:01
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.77%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 18:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.487%E +0.143%K +0.203%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-03 19:01
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:00
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 18:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 18:58
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:01
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.88%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 19:00
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.47%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:01
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.70%E -5.27%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.45%E -3.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-03 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 18:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:01
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-03 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-03 18:59
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 19:00
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.51%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-03 18:58
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.20%E -7.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-03 19:01
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.2%2026-03-03 19:00