مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cesena FC v Monza

البداية: 2026-03-03 19:04 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cesena FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.67%3.26السعر العادل
EV +7.34%
الأفضلية +2.10%
Kelly +2.94%
النمو +0.216%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.25%30.59%30.54%31.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.073.003.5037.04%32.52%33.33%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Monza (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.78%2.51السعر العادل
EV -2.55%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -1.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.35%39.84%39.87%43.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.262.302.4547.62%44.16%43.48%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.55%3.38السعر العادل
EV +0.487%
الأفضلية +0.143%
Kelly +0.203%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.69%29.57%29.59%31.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.33%32.26%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +7.34%E +2.10%K +2.94%G +0.216%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.13%EV -15.28%E -7.17%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 18:53
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 18:57
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:01
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -14.88%E -6.95%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Pinnacle3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV +0.595%E +0.181%K +0.261%G +0.002%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:01
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 19:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -16.47%E -7.84%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-03 19:01
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 18:59
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Codere (IT)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.94%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 19:00
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.43%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 19:01
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-03 19:01
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 19:01
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:01
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.77%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 18:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.487%E +0.143%K +0.203%G +0.001%6.2%2026-03-03 19:01
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-03 19:00
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 18:59
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 18:58
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:01
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-03 19:00
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.88%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-03 19:00
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.47%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:01
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.70%E -5.27%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.45%E -3.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-03 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 18:59
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:01
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-03 18:59
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-03 18:59
Parions Sport (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-03 18:59
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-03 19:00
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-03 18:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-03 19:00
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.51%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-03 18:58
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.20%E -7.48%K -11.88%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-03 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-03 19:01
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10%0.5%2026-03-03 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06%0.6%2026-03-03 19:01
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-03 19:01
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06%2.2%2026-03-03 19:00