La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cesena FC v Monza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cesena FC (Local)
Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV +7.34%
Ventaja +2.10%
Kelly +2.94%
Crecimiento +0.216%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.25%30.59%30.54%31.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.073.003.5037.04%32.52%33.33%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Monza (Visitante)
Predicción 39.78%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.35%39.84%39.87%43.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.302.4547.62%44.16%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.55%3.38momio equitativo
EV +0.487%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.203%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%29.57%29.59%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.093.103.4037.04%32.33%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV +7.34%E +2.10%K +2.94%G +0.216% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.13%EV -15.28%E -7.17%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 18:53 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 18:57 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV +1.21%E +0.366%K +0.525%G +0.006% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.76%EV -14.88%E -6.95%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Pinnacle | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.53%EV +0.595%E +0.181%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.02%EV -3.74%E -1.55%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -6.02%E -1.89%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.80%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -0.325%E -0.100%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.83%EV -16.47%E -7.84%K -14.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.89%EV -1.86%E -0.581%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -8.97%E -2.91%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.28%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.91%EV -4.94%E -2.07%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.81%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.43%EV -6.92%E -2.96%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -5.33%E -2.24%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -4.93%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.77%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.46%EV -4.14%E -1.72%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.55%E -1.04%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV +0.487%E +0.143%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.66%EV -7.72%E -3.33%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 18:58 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.35%EV -5.73%E -2.42%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -14.88%E -5.17%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -2.47%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -9.53%E -3.23%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.24%EV -11.70%E -5.27%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -10.45%E -3.45%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -4.54%E -1.89%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -6.90%E -2.19%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.38%E -2.70%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -11.34%E -3.78%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -12.49%E -5.68%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -14.29%E -4.93%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -8.52%E -3.70%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -6.53%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -10.50%E -4.67%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -5.42%E -1.70%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.43%EV -13.51%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.48%EV -15.68%E -7.39%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -12.81%E -4.34%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-03 18:58 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -15.66%E -5.69%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.20%E -7.48%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-03 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.84%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.98%EV -14.48%E -6.74%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.18%EV -9.86%E -3.23%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.10% | 0.5% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-03 19:01 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.06% | 2.2% | 2026-03-03 19:00 |