Language:English
Carrarese v Sampdoria
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carrarese (Local)
Prediction 38.10%2.62fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.43%37.98%38.25%39.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.16%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sampdoria (Visit)
Prediction 29.14%3.43fair odd
EV -0.929%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.93%29.28%29.00%31.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.123.153.4034.72%32.03%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.76%3.05fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.82%32.74%32.76%34.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.772.762.9542.55%36.14%36.23%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carrarese (Local): 38.10%; Sampdoria (Visit): 29.14%; Draw: 32.76%. For Sampdoria (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.929%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 18:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -2.39%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.43%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -5.59%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.10%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.88%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.28%EV -9.26%E -3.34%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.76%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-18 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -16.08%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.11%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.15%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 34.74%EV -23.01%E -9.79%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 22.5% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |