مدرسة الاحتمالات

Carrarese v Sampdoria

البداية: 2026-03-18 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Carrarese (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.10%2.62السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -1.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.43%37.98%38.25%39.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.16%40.82%39.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sampdoria (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.14%3.43السعر العادل
EV -0.929%
الأفضلية -0.273%
Kelly -0.387%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.93%29.28%29.00%31.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.123.153.4034.72%32.03%31.75%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 32.76%3.05السعر العادل
EV -3.36%
الأفضلية -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.82%32.74%32.76%34.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.772.762.9542.55%36.14%36.23%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 18:44
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -2.39%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 18:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 18:45
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 18:45
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 18:45
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.43%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 18:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:10
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 18:15
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -5.59%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 18:50
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 17:35
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 18:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 18:05
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 18:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 18:45
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 18:40
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:49
BetUS2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-18 18:05
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 18:10
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 18:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.10%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.88%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.28%EV -9.26%E -3.34%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-18 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.76%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-18 18:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -16.08%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-18 18:50
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.11%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.15%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 34.74%EV -23.01%E -9.79%K -17.05%G +0.000%22.5%2026-03-18 18:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-18 18:40