La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Carrarese v Sampdoria
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carrarese (Local)
Predicción 38.10%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.43%37.98%38.25%39.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.16%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sampdoria (Visitante)
Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -0.929%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.387%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.93%29.28%29.00%31.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.123.153.4034.72%32.03%31.75%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 32.76%3.05momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.82%32.74%32.76%34.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.772.762.9542.55%36.14%36.23%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-18 18:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -2.39%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.43%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -5.59%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:49 |
| BetUS | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.10%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.88%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.28%EV -9.26%E -3.34%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.76%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-18 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -16.08%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.11%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.15%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 34.74%EV -23.01%E -9.79%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 22.5% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 1.5% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |