A Escola das Odds

Carrarese v Sampdoria

Início: 2026-03-18 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Previsão 38.10%2.62odd justa
EV -2.84%
Vantagem -1.11%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.43%37.98%38.25%39.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.16%40.82%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sampdoria (Visitante)

Previsão 29.14%3.43odd justa
EV -0.929%
Vantagem -0.273%
Kelly -0.387%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.93%29.28%29.00%31.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.123.153.4034.72%32.03%31.75%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.76%3.05odd justa
EV -3.36%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.82%32.74%32.76%34.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.772.762.9542.55%36.14%36.23%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 18:44
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -2.39%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 18:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 18:45
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 18:45
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 18:45
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.43%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 18:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:10
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 18:15
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -5.59%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 18:50
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 17:35
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 18:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 18:05
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 18:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 18:45
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 18:40
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:49
BetUS2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-18 18:05
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 18:10
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 18:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.10%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.88%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.28%EV -9.26%E -3.34%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-18 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.76%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-18 18:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -16.08%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-18 18:50
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.11%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.15%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 34.74%EV -23.01%E -9.79%K -17.05%G +0.000%22.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-18 18:40