L’École des cotes

Carrarese v Sampdoria

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Carrarese (Local)

Prévision 38.10%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.43%37.98%38.25%39.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.452.5545.45%41.16%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sampdoria (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.14%3.43cote équitable
EV -0.929%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.387%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%29.28%29.00%31.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.123.153.4034.72%32.03%31.75%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.76%3.05cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.74%32.76%34.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.772.762.9542.55%36.14%36.23%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -2.84%E -1.11%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -3.36%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-18 18:44
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.14%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -2.39%E -0.712%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.95%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-18 18:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 18:45
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 18:45
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.75%E -1.90%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-18 18:45
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.43%EV -5.13%E -2.06%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 18:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:10
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.47%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.47%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 18:10
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.36%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.81%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 18:15
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -5.59%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.33%EV -3.69%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 18:50
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:10
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.13%EV -5.51%E -2.22%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:05
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -0.929%E -0.273%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 17:35
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.84%E -1.16%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 18:45
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.30%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 18:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.00%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:40
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-18 18:50
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 18:05
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.01%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -13.19%E -4.98%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-18 18:05
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 18:45
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.65%E -2.71%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 18:40
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:49
BetUS2.43I 41.15%NM 38.06%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 18:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -7.41%E -3.05%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -13.84%E -5.26%K -8.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-18 18:05
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 18:10
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.79%E -3.22%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.21%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.67%EV -7.62%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 18:10
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -5.65%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 18:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -11.55%E -4.28%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-18 14:19
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.56%E -3.57%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -14.82%E -5.70%K -9.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.32%E -3.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -12.58%E -4.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -18.10%E -7.24%K -12.07%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-18 18:50
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -10.46%E -4.45%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -6.63%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 18:10
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.88%EV -12.37%E -5.38%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.67%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.28%EV -9.26%E -3.34%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-18 18:10
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -14.27%E -6.34%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.09%EV -14.04%E -4.76%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.76%EV -14.17%E -5.41%K -8.75%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -11.13%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -9.91%E -3.60%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-18 18:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -16.08%E -5.58%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.27%E -2.95%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-18 18:50
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.11%EV -16.18%E -7.35%K -13.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.15%EV -15.50%E -5.34%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 34.74%EV -23.01%E -9.79%K -17.05%G +0.000%22.5%2026-03-18 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%0.8%2026-03-18 18:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-18 18:40