預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cagliari v Arezzo

開賽時間: 2026-08-14 16:31 UTC

最終賽果: Cagliari 1–0 Arezzo

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

30 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Cagliari (主隊)

預測 57.28%1.75公平賠率
EV -4.91%
優勢 -2.96%
Kelly -7.44%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.66

博彩公司預測分布
55.96%57.48%57.23%61.27%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.491.581.601.6667.11%63.16%62.50%60.24%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Arezzo (客隊)

預測 17.93%5.58公平賠率
EV +7.60%
優勢 +1.27%
Kelly +1.52%
成長率 +0.116%

假設最高賠率為 6.00

博彩公司預測分布
15.33%17.68%18.10%19.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.705.315.256.0021.28%18.83%19.05%16.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 24.78%4.03公平賠率
EV +4.09%
優勢 +0.974%
Kelly +1.28%
成長率 +0.052%

假設最高賠率為 4.20

博彩公司預測分布
22.46%24.84%24.67%25.90%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.503.843.804.2028.57%26.03%26.32%23.81%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Cagliari (主隊):57.28%;Arezzo (客隊):17.93%;和局:24.78%。 對於「Arezzo (客隊)」,該估計相當於5.58的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.00,對應+7.60%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (30 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -12.36%E -8.08%K -23.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +7.60%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.116%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052%6.0%2026-08-14 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052%6.0%2026-08-14 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052%6.0%2026-08-14 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052%6.0%2026-08-14 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052%6.0%2026-08-14 16:24
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.70%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.16%EV +0.071%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -0.864%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-14 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -14.65%E -9.83%K -29.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -3.34%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.95%E -0.934%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 16:04
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:24
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:25
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -9.49%E -6.01%K -16.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.74%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.58%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:25
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -0.864%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 16:15
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 16:18
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 16:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:20
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:24
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.71%E -3.34%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 16:24
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.4%2026-08-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-14 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-14 16:25