Idioma:Español
Cagliari v Arezzo
Resultado del partido
Cagliari (Local)
Predicción 66.46%1.50momio equitativo
EV -5.63%
Ventaja -3.96%
Kelly -13.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.61%66.57%66.34%70.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.371.361.4276.34%73.17%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arezzo (Visitante)
Predicción 12.88%7.76momio equitativo
EV +9.51%
Ventaja +1.12%
Kelly +1.27%
Crecimiento +0.120%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.00%12.84%13.05%13.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.507.707.508.5015.38%12.99%13.33%11.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 20.66%4.84momio equitativo
EV +3.29%
Ventaja +0.658%
Kelly +0.823%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.70%20.60%20.61%21.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.334.654.655.0023.09%21.49%21.51%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cagliari (Local): 66.46%; Arezzo (Visitante): 12.88%; Empate: 20.66%. Para Arezzo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 7.76. 13 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 8.50, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +9.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027% | 7.0% | 2026-08-13 09:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.12%EV -12.94%E -9.88%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV +6.29%E +0.762%K +0.867%G +0.054% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -1.87%E -0.394%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -12.27%E -9.30%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -12.27%E -9.30%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -2.09%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-13 10:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.840%E -0.175%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.87%E -0.394%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-13 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-13 10:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-13 09:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-13 09:53 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -10.55%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-13 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -12.27%E -9.30%K -38.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.34%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.05%EV -6.98%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 20.61%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 09:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 09:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-13 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -12.40%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -16.26%E -2.50%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-13 10:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-08-13 12:40 |
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