语言:简体中文
Cagliari v Arezzo
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Cagliari (主队)
预测 57.28%1.75公平赔率
EV -4.91%
优势 -2.96%
Kelly -7.44%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.66
博彩公司预测分布
55.96%57.48%57.23%61.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.581.601.6667.11%63.16%62.50%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
Arezzo (客队)
预测 17.93%5.58公平赔率
EV +7.60%
优势 +1.27%
Kelly +1.52%
增长率 +0.116%
假设最高赔率为 6.00
博彩公司预测分布
15.33%17.68%18.10%19.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.315.256.0021.28%18.83%19.05%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.78%4.03公平赔率
EV +4.09%
优势 +0.974%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.052%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.46%24.84%24.67%25.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.843.804.2028.57%26.03%26.32%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cagliari (主队)：57.28%；Arezzo (客队)：17.93%；平局：24.78%。 对于“Arezzo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.58。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+7.60%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -12.36%E -8.08%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +7.60%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.116% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.70%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.16%EV +0.071%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -0.864%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -14.65%E -9.83%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -3.34%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.95%E -0.934%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -9.49%E -6.01%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.74%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.58%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -0.864%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.71%E -3.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |