Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cagliari v Arezzo

2026-08-14 16:30 UTC — Coppa Italia

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Cagliari (Casa)

Previsione 66.46%1.50quota equa
EV -5.63%
Vantaggio -3.96%
Kelly -13.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.61%66.57%66.34%70.30%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.311.371.361.4276.34%73.17%73.53%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Arezzo (Trasferta)

Previsione 12.88%7.76quota equa
EV +9.51%
Vantaggio +1.12%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescita +0.120%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.00%12.84%13.05%13.90%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.707.508.5015.38%12.99%13.33%11.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 20.66%4.84quota equa
EV +3.29%
Vantaggio +0.658%
Kelly +0.823%
Crescita +0.027%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.70%20.60%20.61%21.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.654.655.0023.09%21.49%21.51%20.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Cagliari (Casa): 66.46%; Arezzo (Trasferta): 12.88%; Pareggio: 20.66%. Per Arezzo (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 7.76. 13 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 8.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +9.51%.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-13 09:49
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%6.2%2026-08-13 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%6.2%2026-08-13 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%6.2%2026-08-13 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%6.2%2026-08-13 09:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.28%E -7.62%K -29.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%6.2%2026-08-13 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027%7.0%2026-08-13 09:49
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +9.51%E +1.12%K +1.27%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +3.29%E +0.658%K +0.823%G +0.027%7.0%2026-08-13 09:55
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.12%EV -12.94%E -9.88%K -41.74%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.13%EV +6.29%E +0.762%K +0.867%G +0.054%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +1.23%E +0.250%K +0.314%G +0.004%8.9%2026-08-13 09:49
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -1.87%E -0.394%K -0.499%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-13 09:50
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.00%EV -11.61%E -8.73%K -35.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-13 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -12.27%E -9.30%K -38.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 09:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -12.27%E -9.30%K -38.36%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV +3.06%E +0.383%K +0.438%G +0.013%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-13 09:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.43%EV -2.09%E -0.275%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -2.91%E -0.618%K -0.785%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 10:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -0.840%E -0.175%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.50%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.87%E -0.394%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-13 10:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-13 09:53
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-13 09:53
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -10.55%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-13 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -12.27%E -9.30%K -38.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -3.38%E -0.450%K -0.520%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-13 09:50
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.34%EV -5.63%E -3.96%K -13.40%G +0.000%7.22I 13.85%NM 13.05%EV -6.98%E -0.967%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.61%EV -5.59%E -1.22%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-13 09:50
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 09:49
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -7.04%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 10:50
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-13 10:50
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-13 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-13 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -9.82%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-13 10:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.61%EV -6.96%E -4.97%K -17.39%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -12.40%E -1.82%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -9.10%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-13 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -9.62%E -7.07%K -26.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -16.26%E -2.50%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -4.97%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-13 10:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-08-13 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-08-13 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-08-13 12:40

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