Langue:Français
Cagliari v Arezzo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cagliari (Local)
Prévision 57.28%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -2.96%
Kelly -7.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.66
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.96%57.48%57.23%61.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.581.601.6667.11%63.16%62.50%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arezzo (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.93%5.58cote équitable
EV +7.60%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.52%
Croissance +0.116%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.33%17.68%18.10%19.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.315.256.0021.28%18.83%19.05%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.78%4.03cote équitable
EV +4.09%
Avantage +0.974%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.052%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.46%24.84%24.67%25.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.804.2028.57%26.03%26.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cagliari (Local) : 57.28% ; Arezzo (Visiteur) : 17.93% ; Match nul : 24.78%. Pour Arezzo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.58. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +7.60%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -12.36%E -8.08%K -23.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV +7.60%E +1.27%K +1.52%G +0.116% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.06%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -11.79%E -7.65%K -21.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV +4.02%E +0.692%K +0.837%G +0.034% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV +4.09%E +0.974%K +1.28%G +0.052% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.70%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.16%EV +0.071%E +0.013%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.14%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -0.864%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.52%EV -14.08%E -9.38%K -28.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -2.10%E -0.532%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -14.65%E -9.83%K -29.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -1.36%E -0.248%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -3.34%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -4.95%E -0.934%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 16:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.25%EV -9.49%E -6.01%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -5.85%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 16:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.13%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.74%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.58%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.48%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -0.864%E -0.216%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-14 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.30%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 16:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.78%E -2.99%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 16:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.33%E -2.07%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -15.71%E -3.34%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.82%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 16:24 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |