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Panetolikos Agrinio v AEL
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)
Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.81%38.42%38.81%41.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.322.302.5447.17%43.15%43.48%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEL (Visit)
Prediction 30.99%3.23fair odd
EV +0.718%
Edge +0.221%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.52%31.00%30.86%32.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.44%3.28fair odd
EV +0.466%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.203%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.47%30.58%30.32%32.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.32%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panetolikos Agrinio (Local): 38.57%; AEL (Visit): 30.99%; Draw: 30.44%. For AEL (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.718%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.43%E -0.960%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.14%E -0.358%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.43%EV -10.49%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -2.04%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.59%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -11.10%E -3.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -18.24%E -8.60%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.58%E -0.806%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.99%EV -7.65%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.466%E +0.141%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -16.28%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -16.33%E -6.05%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |