مدرسة الاحتمالات

Panetolikos Agrinio v AEL

البداية: 2026-05-12 16:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Panetolikos Agrinio 1–1 AEL

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (المضيف)

التنبؤ 38.57%2.59السعر العادل
EV -2.04%
الأفضلية -0.805%
Kelly -1.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.81%38.42%38.81%41.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.322.302.5447.17%43.15%43.48%39.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AEL (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.99%3.23السعر العادل
EV +0.718%
الأفضلية +0.221%
Kelly +0.319%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.52%31.00%30.86%32.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.44%3.28السعر العادل
EV +0.466%
الأفضلية +0.141%
Kelly +0.203%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.47%30.58%30.32%32.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.32%33.33%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.43%E -0.960%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.14%E -0.358%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.43%EV -10.49%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 15:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -2.04%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:00
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.59%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -11.10%E -3.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 15:59
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -18.24%E -8.60%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 16:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.58%E -0.806%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 15:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.99%EV -7.65%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 15:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 15:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 15:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.466%E +0.141%K +0.203%G +0.001%6.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 15:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:00
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -16.28%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 16:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -16.33%E -6.05%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 16:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%6.0%2026-05-12 16:00