La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Panetolikos Agrinio v AEL
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)
Predicción 38.57%2.59momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.81%38.42%38.81%41.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.322.302.5447.17%43.15%43.48%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEL (Visitante)
Predicción 30.99%3.23momio equitativo
EV +0.718%
Ventaja +0.221%
Kelly +0.319%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.52%31.00%30.86%32.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.44%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.466%
Ventaja +0.141%
Kelly +0.203%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.47%30.58%30.32%32.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.32%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.43%E -0.960%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.14%E -0.358%K -0.521%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.43%EV -10.49%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -2.04%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.59%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -11.10%E -3.80%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -18.24%E -8.60%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.58%E -0.806%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.99%EV -7.65%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.466%E +0.141%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -16.28%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-12 15:59 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.85%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -16.33%E -6.05%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04% | 2.3% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 2.6% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |