Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panetolikos Agrinio v AEL

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 16:02 UTC

Score final : Panetolikos Agrinio 1–1 AEL

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Prévision 38.57%2.59cote équitable
EV -2.04%
Avantage -0.805%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.81%38.42%38.81%41.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.122.322.302.5447.17%43.15%43.48%39.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AEL (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.99%3.23cote équitable
EV +0.718%
Avantage +0.221%
Kelly +0.319%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.52%31.00%30.86%32.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.44%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.466%
Avantage +0.141%
Kelly +0.203%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.47%30.58%30.32%32.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.32%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Panetolikos Agrinio (Local) : 38.57% ; AEL (Visiteur) : 30.99% ; Match nul : 30.44%. Pour AEL (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.23. 7 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.718%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.43%E -0.960%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.14%E -0.358%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.43%EV -10.49%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 15:59
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -2.04%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.59%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -11.10%E -3.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 15:59
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -18.24%E -8.60%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.58%E -0.806%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:00
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 15:59
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.99%EV -7.65%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 15:59
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 15:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 15:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.466%E +0.141%K +0.203%G +0.001%6.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 15:59
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -16.28%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -16.33%E -6.05%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%6.0%2026-05-12 16:00