A Escola das Odds

Panetolikos Agrinio v AEL

Início: 2026-05-12 16:02 UTC

Final: Panetolikos Agrinio 1–1 AEL

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Panetolikos Agrinio (Local)

Previsão 38.57%2.59odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.805%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.81%38.42%38.81%41.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.122.322.302.5447.17%43.15%43.48%39.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEL (Visitante)

Previsão 30.99%3.23odd justa
EV +0.718%
Vantagem +0.221%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.52%31.00%30.86%32.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.12%33.33%30.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.44%3.28odd justa
EV +0.466%
Vantagem +0.141%
Kelly +0.203%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.47%30.58%30.32%32.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.003.003.3036.36%33.32%33.33%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.57%EV -14.00%E -6.28%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV +0.718%E +0.221%K +0.319%G +0.002%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -0.831%E -0.260%K -0.378%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.43%E -0.960%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.14%E -0.358%K -0.521%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.43%EV -10.49%E -3.57%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 15:59
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.77%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-12 15:59
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 37.10%EV -2.04%E -0.805%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 16:00
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -3.59%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -3.93%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.16%EV -11.10%E -3.80%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 15:59
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 16:00
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -18.24%E -8.60%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -5.48%E -1.80%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.77%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 16:00
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -2.58%E -0.806%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 16:00
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 16:00
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 16:00
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 15:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.03%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.99%EV -7.65%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.19%E -3.45%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 15:59
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -7.15%E -2.34%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-12 15:59
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.58%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-12 15:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV +0.466%E +0.141%K +0.203%G +0.001%6.5%2026-05-12 16:00
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 15:59
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.81%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:00
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-12 16:00
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.08%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.27%EV -16.28%E -5.92%K -9.30%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-12 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-12 15:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.30%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.85%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.67%E -2.89%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-12 16:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-12 16:00
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.77%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.15%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -15.16%E -6.89%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -13.23%E -4.72%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-12 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -16.33%E -6.05%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -11.71%E -4.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-12 16:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.07%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.04%2.3%2026-05-12 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50%2.6%2026-05-12 16:00
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-05-12 16:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 35.86%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.20%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%6.0%2026-05-12 16:00