Language:English
Atromitos Athens v AEL
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atromitos Athens (Local)
Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV +0.808%
Edge +0.449%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%55.97%56.20%57.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.691.671.8065.79%59.24%59.88%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEL (Visit)
Prediction 17.29%5.78fair odd
EV +3.73%
Edge +0.622%
Kelly +0.746%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.68%17.26%17.06%20.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.015.006.0022.73%19.96%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.71%3.74fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -0.994%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.97%26.78%26.74%28.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.303.6132.79%30.10%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atromitos Athens (Local): 56.00%; AEL (Visit): 17.29%; Draw: 26.71%. For AEL (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.44%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +3.73%E +0.622%K +0.746%G +0.028% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.57%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.11%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -0.591%E -0.103%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.16%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -11.51%E -7.29%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.00%E -2.97%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.21%EV -14.87%E -9.79%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -15.29%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -17.01%E -3.54%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -17.88%E -3.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.79%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -18.74%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -1.43%E -0.814%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -22.20%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -3.67%E -2.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -23.93%E -5.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -18.54%E -6.08%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |