A Escola das Odds

Atromitos Athens v AEL

Início: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Atromitos Athens 3–2 AEL

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Previsão 56.00%1.79odd justa
EV +0.808%
Vantagem +0.449%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%55.97%56.20%57.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.521.691.671.8065.79%59.24%59.88%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEL (Visitante)

Previsão 17.29%5.78odd justa
EV +3.73%
Vantagem +0.622%
Kelly +0.746%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.68%17.26%17.06%20.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.405.015.006.0022.73%19.96%20.00%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.71%3.74odd justa
EV -3.59%
Vantagem -0.994%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%26.78%26.74%28.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.053.323.303.6132.79%30.10%30.30%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.44%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +3.73%E +0.622%K +0.746%G +0.028%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.57%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:35
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.11%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:43
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -0.591%E -0.103%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:45
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:23
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:55
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:45
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.16%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -11.51%E -7.29%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.00%E -2.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:34
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:49
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:45
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:25
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:25
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:25
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 13:44
NetBet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.21%EV -14.87%E -9.79%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 13:49
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -15.29%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 12:19
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -17.01%E -3.54%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:19
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -17.88%E -3.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.79%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -18.74%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 13:25
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -1.43%E -0.814%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -22.20%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 13:25
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -3.67%E -2.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -23.93%E -5.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -18.54%E -6.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 13:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%2.6%2026-04-18 13:55