Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens v AEL

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Score final : Atromitos Athens 3–2 AEL

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Atromitos Athens (Local)

Prévision 56.00%1.79cote équitable
EV +0.808%
Avantage +0.449%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%55.97%56.20%57.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.521.691.671.8065.79%59.24%59.88%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AEL (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.29%5.78cote équitable
EV +3.73%
Avantage +0.622%
Kelly +0.746%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.68%17.26%17.06%20.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.015.006.0022.73%19.96%20.00%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.71%3.74cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -0.994%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.97%26.78%26.74%28.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.303.6132.79%30.10%30.30%27.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Atromitos Athens (Local) : 56.00% ; AEL (Visiteur) : 17.29% ; Match nul : 26.71%. Pour AEL (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.78. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +3.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.44%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +3.73%E +0.622%K +0.746%G +0.028%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.57%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.11%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:43
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -0.591%E -0.103%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:23
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.16%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -11.51%E -7.29%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.00%E -2.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:34
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:49
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.21%EV -14.87%E -9.79%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -15.29%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -17.01%E -3.54%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -17.88%E -3.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.79%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -18.74%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -1.43%E -0.814%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -22.20%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -3.67%E -2.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -23.93%E -5.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -18.54%E -6.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 13:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%2.6%2026-04-18 13:55