La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Atromitos Athens v AEL
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atromitos Athens (Local)
Predicción 56.00%1.79momio equitativo
EV +0.808%
Ventaja +0.449%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.05%55.97%56.20%57.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.691.671.8065.79%59.24%59.88%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEL (Visitante)
Predicción 17.29%5.78momio equitativo
EV +3.73%
Ventaja +0.622%
Kelly +0.746%
Crecimiento +0.028%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.68%17.26%17.06%20.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.015.006.0022.73%19.96%20.00%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.71%3.74momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -0.994%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.97%26.78%26.74%28.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.323.303.6132.79%30.10%30.30%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.44%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +3.73%E +0.622%K +0.746%G +0.028% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.57%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.11%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-18 13:43 |
| DraftKings | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -0.591%E -0.103%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:23 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.16%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -11.51%E -7.29%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.00%E -2.97%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 13:34 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| BetUS | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.21%EV -14.87%E -9.79%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-18 13:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -15.29%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -17.01%E -3.54%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -17.88%E -3.76%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.79%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -18.74%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -1.43%E -0.814%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -22.20%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -3.67%E -2.14%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -23.93%E -5.44%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -18.54%E -6.08%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 13:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.90% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.04% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |