StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atromitos Athens v AEL

Matchstart: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Atromitos Athens 3–2 AEL

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Atromitos Athens (Hemma)

Prognos 56.00%1.79rättvist odds
EV +0.808%
Fördel +0.449%
Kelly +1.01%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.05%55.97%56.20%57.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.521.691.671.8065.79%59.24%59.88%55.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AEL (Borta)

Prognos 17.29%5.78rättvist odds
EV +3.73%
Fördel +0.622%
Kelly +0.746%
Tillväxt +0.028%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.68%17.26%17.06%20.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.405.015.006.0022.73%19.96%20.00%16.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.71%3.74rättvist odds
EV -3.59%
Fördel -0.994%
Kelly -1.37%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.61

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.97%26.78%26.74%28.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.323.303.6132.79%30.10%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Atromitos Athens (Hemma): 56.00%; AEL (Borta): 17.29%; Oavgjort: 26.71%. För AEL (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.78. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +3.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.44%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV +3.73%E +0.622%K +0.746%G +0.028%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.57%EV -3.59%E -0.994%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.03%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.11%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.68%EV +2.00%E +0.339%K +0.409%G +0.008%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:43
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.00%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -0.591%E -0.103%K -0.124%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:45
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.53%E -1.86%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:23
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.26%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.01%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:45
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.16%EV -9.83%E -6.11%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.91%E -0.893%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.25%EV -3.11%E -1.80%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.50%EV -11.51%E -7.29%K -19.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -9.23%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -10.00%E -2.97%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:34
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:49
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.84%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -10.10%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.55%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.33%EV -5.35%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.85%E -1.07%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -4.79%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -8.15%E -4.97%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -7.86%E -2.28%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:25
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:25
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -6.47%E -3.88%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.46%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 13:44
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.21%EV -14.87%E -9.79%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -13.56%E -2.71%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-18 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.44%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -15.29%E -3.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -5.91%E -3.52%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV -17.01%E -3.54%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-18 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.36%EV -9.27%E -5.72%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -17.88%E -3.76%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -13.20%E -4.06%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.79%EV -10.39%E -6.50%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -18.74%E -3.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.87%E -3.60%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-18 13:25
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV +0.808%E +0.449%K +1.01%G +0.008%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -14.54%E -4.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:25
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -0.312%E -0.175%K -0.400%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -15.87%E -5.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.23%EV -7.59%E -4.60%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -20.47%E -4.45%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -1.43%E -0.814%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.97%EV -22.20%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -17.21%E -5.55%K -8.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 13:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.15%EV -3.67%E -2.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -23.93%E -5.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.85%EV -18.54%E -6.08%K -9.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 13:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.98%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.48%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%1.2%2026-04-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.04%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.08%2.6%2026-04-18 13:55