Language:English
Asteras Tripolis v AEL
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prediction 44.43%2.25fair odd
EV -0.039%
Edge -0.017%
Kelly -0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.70%44.57%44.41%45.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.112.102.2553.48%47.45%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AEL (Visit)
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV +2.45%
Edge +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.68%26.22%26.28%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.333.9032.26%29.70%30.08%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.30%3.41fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.13%29.21%29.31%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.54%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Asteras Tripolis (Local): 44.43%; AEL (Visit): 26.27%; Draw: 29.30%. For AEL (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -6.26%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.84%EV -16.92%E -9.05%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.95%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -12.92%E -6.59%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -13.37%E -6.85%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -17.25%E -5.48%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.02%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -16.49%E -5.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |