La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Asteras Tripolis v AEL
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Predicción 44.43%2.25momio equitativo
EV -0.039%
Ventaja -0.017%
Kelly -0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.70%44.57%44.41%45.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.112.102.2553.48%47.45%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AEL (Visitante)
Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV +2.45%
Ventaja +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.68%26.22%26.28%28.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.333.9032.26%29.70%30.08%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.30%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.00%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.13%29.21%29.31%30.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.54%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -6.26%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.84%EV -16.92%E -9.05%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.95%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -12.92%E -6.59%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -13.37%E -6.85%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -17.25%E -5.48%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.02%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -16.49%E -5.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |