L’École des cotesFrançais
Asteras Tripolis v AEL
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Asteras Tripolis (Local)
Prévision 44.43%2.25cote équitable
EV -0.039%
Avantage -0.017%
Kelly -0.031%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.70%44.57%44.41%45.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.112.102.2553.48%47.45%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
AEL (Visiteur)
Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV +2.45%
Avantage +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Croissance +0.021%
avec la cote maximale 3.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.68%26.22%26.28%28.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.333.9032.26%29.70%30.08%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.30%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.13%29.21%29.31%30.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.54%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -6.26%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.84%EV -16.92%E -9.05%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 14:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.95%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -12.92%E -6.59%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Unibet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Casumo | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -13.37%E -6.85%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -17.25%E -5.48%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.02%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -16.49%E -5.79%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99% | 2.6% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 15:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 15:01 |