A Escola das Odds

Asteras Tripolis v AEL

Início: 2026-04-04 15:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Asteras Tripolis (Local)

Previsão 44.43%2.25odd justa
EV -0.039%
Vantagem -0.017%
Kelly -0.031%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.70%44.57%44.41%45.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.112.102.2553.48%47.45%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

AEL (Visitante)

Previsão 26.27%3.81odd justa
EV +2.45%
Vantagem +0.629%
Kelly +0.846%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.68%26.22%26.28%28.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.373.333.9032.26%29.70%30.08%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.30%3.41odd justa
EV -3.30%
Vantagem -1.00%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.13%29.21%29.31%30.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.54%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -6.26%E -2.97%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV +2.45%E +0.629%K +0.846%G +0.021%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.71%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 14:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:00
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.86%EV -4.93%E -2.30%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.541%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 15:00
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -4.77%E -1.47%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 14:58
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.43%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 15:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 15:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.30%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 15:01
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 15:01
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 14:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 15:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 14:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 14:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:00
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.78%EV -4.48%E -2.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -10.63%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 15:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -6.70%E -3.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.70%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 14:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 15:00
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 14:59
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 15:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 15:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.23%E -1.95%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 45.84%EV -16.92%E -9.05%K -19.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 15:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.92%E -4.35%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -17.95%E -6.41%K -9.97%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.15%E -5.57%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.74%EV -12.92%E -6.59%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.16%E -2.96%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:01
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -0.039%E -0.017%K -0.031%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:00
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.77%EV -0.928%E -0.416%K -0.754%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -13.56%E -4.60%K -6.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 15:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -13.37%E -6.85%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.94%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -12.09%E -4.03%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 15:00
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -2.26%E -1.03%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -17.25%E -5.48%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -15.02%E -5.18%K -7.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 15:00
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -4.04%E -1.87%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -18.56%E -5.99%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -16.49%E -5.79%K -8.91%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 15:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.22%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.05%2.4%2026-04-04 15:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99%2.6%2026-04-04 15:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.99%2.6%2026-04-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%3.1%2026-04-04 15:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 44.32%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.23%5.9%2026-04-04 15:01