Language:English
AEL v Asteras Tripolis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AEL (Local)
Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.919%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.15%48.99%49.09%50.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.891.902.0858.14%52.89%52.63%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Asteras Tripolis (Visit)
Prediction 21.50%4.65fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.307%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.44%21.53%21.47%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.094.004.6028.57%24.45%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.51%3.39fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.798%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.38%29.48%29.45%30.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.44%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AEL (Local): 49.00%; Asteras Tripolis (Visit): 21.50%; Draw: 29.51%. For AEL (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV +1.91%E +0.919%K +1.77%G +0.034% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -24.75%E -7.07%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.63%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.42%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.32%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -16.15%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -20.45%E -5.53%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.10%E -0.240%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.87%E -4.77%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -9.85%E -5.35%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 17:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -15.03%E -5.22%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.35%EV -12.79%E -7.18%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.18%EV -16.58%E -4.27%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.47%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.10%EV -14.26%E -8.15%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.42%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.37%EV -15.24%E -8.81%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.38%EV -9.42%E -3.07%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 17:51 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.92%EV -15.73%E -9.14%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.03%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.94% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |