La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
AEL v Asteras Tripolis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AEL (Local)
Predicción 49.00%2.04momio equitativo
EV +1.91%
Ventaja +0.919%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.15%48.99%49.09%50.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.891.902.0858.14%52.89%52.63%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)
Predicción 21.50%4.65momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.307%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.44%21.53%21.47%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.094.004.6028.57%24.45%25.00%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.51%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.38%29.48%29.45%30.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.44%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV +1.91%E +0.919%K +1.77%G +0.034% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -24.75%E -7.07%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.63%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 17:49 |
| Unibet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.42%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 17:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.32%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -16.15%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 17:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -20.45%E -5.53%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 17:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.10%E -0.240%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.87%E -4.77%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -9.85%E -5.35%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-14 17:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -15.03%E -5.22%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.35%EV -12.79%E -7.18%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 22.18%EV -16.58%E -4.27%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.47%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.10%EV -14.26%E -8.15%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.42%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-14 17:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.37%EV -15.24%E -8.81%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.38%EV -9.42%E -3.07%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 17:51 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.92%EV -15.73%E -9.14%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.03%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.94% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66% | 2.2% | 2026-03-14 17:55 |