مدرسة الاحتمالات

AEL v Asteras Tripolis

البداية: 2026-03-14 18:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AEL (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.00%2.04السعر العادل
EV +1.91%
الأفضلية +0.919%
Kelly +1.77%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.15%48.99%49.09%50.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.891.902.0858.14%52.89%52.63%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Asteras Tripolis (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.50%4.65السعر العادل
EV -1.10%
الأفضلية -0.240%
Kelly -0.307%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.44%21.53%21.47%26.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.094.004.6028.57%24.45%25.00%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.51%3.39السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -0.798%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.38%29.48%29.45%30.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.44%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV +1.91%E +0.919%K +1.77%G +0.034%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -24.75%E -7.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.63%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 17:49
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:50
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.42%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 17:45
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.32%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -16.15%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 17:54
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 17:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -20.45%E -5.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 17:54
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.10%E -0.240%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 17:55
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 17:55
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:50
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:50
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.87%E -4.77%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:50
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -9.85%E -5.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 17:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 17:44
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -15.03%E -5.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.35%EV -12.79%E -7.18%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.18%EV -16.58%E -4.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.47%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 17:55
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.10%EV -14.26%E -8.15%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.42%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.37%EV -15.24%E -8.81%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.38%EV -9.42%E -3.07%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 17:51
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.92%EV -15.73%E -9.14%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.03%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 17:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-14 17:50
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.94%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%2.2%2026-03-14 17:55