A Escola das Odds

AEL v Asteras Tripolis

Início: 2026-03-14 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AEL (Local)

Previsão 49.00%2.04odd justa
EV +1.91%
Vantagem +0.919%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.15%48.99%49.09%50.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.891.902.0858.14%52.89%52.63%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Asteras Tripolis (Visitante)

Previsão 21.50%4.65odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.240%
Kelly -0.307%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.44%21.53%21.47%26.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.094.004.6028.57%24.45%25.00%21.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.51%3.39odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -0.798%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.38%29.48%29.45%30.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.083.103.3035.71%32.44%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV +1.91%E +0.919%K +1.77%G +0.034%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -24.75%E -7.07%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:20
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.28%EV -2.99%E -1.51%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -2.63%E -0.798%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 17:49
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -3.48%E -1.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.77%EV -3.97%E -2.02%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 17:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -4.46%E -2.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:50
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.42%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.89%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.69%EV -4.70%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 17:45
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.32%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -16.15%E -4.14%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.66%EV -4.95%E -2.55%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 17:54
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -5.44%E -2.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -19.38%E -5.17%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 17:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.93%E -3.09%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -20.45%E -5.53%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.30%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 17:54
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.18%E -0.479%K -0.614%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.34%EV -4.40%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:55
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -1.10%E -0.240%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 17:50
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -6.42%E -3.36%K -7.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 17:55
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.12%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.06%E -2.24%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 17:55
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -6.91%E -3.64%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.01%E -3.28%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.55%E -1.76%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 17:55
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.68%EV -7.89%E -4.20%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 17:50
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.66%EV -8.38%E -4.48%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -6.91%E -1.60%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 17:50
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 48.95%EV -8.87%E -4.77%K -10.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 17:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.58%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -3.25%E -0.723%K -0.930%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 17:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:55
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:54
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -5.40%E -1.23%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:50
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.70%E -2.31%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -8.53%E -2.75%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:55
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -9.36%E -5.06%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.67%EV -9.85%E -5.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -18.30%E -4.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.24%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 17:50
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -11.48%E -3.83%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-14 17:44
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -10.34%E -5.65%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.36%EV -15.03%E -5.22%K -7.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 17:50
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.35%EV -12.79%E -7.18%K -16.39%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.18%EV -16.58%E -4.27%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.47%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 17:55
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.10%EV -14.26%E -8.15%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.42%EV -13.85%E -4.74%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-14 17:49
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.37%EV -15.24%E -8.81%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -11.85%E -2.89%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.38%EV -9.42%E -3.07%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 17:51
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.92%EV -15.73%E -9.14%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.03%EV -14.00%E -3.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -17.39%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-14 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-14 17:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.99%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.58%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%2.1%2026-03-14 17:50
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.94%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%2.2%2026-03-14 17:55