Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf

2026-08-07 17:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 32.46%3.08fair odd
EV -5.87%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.16%32.50%32.46%33.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.852.9038.17%35.83%35.09%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)

Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.84%41.37%41.68%42.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3048.78%45.45%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.86%3.87fair odd
EV -6.90%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%26.12%25.86%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.6032.26%29.73%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 21:35
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 03:40
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.16%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -6.90%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 03:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -6.52%E -2.26%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-20 14:15
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -6.85%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -6.85%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -19.83%E -6.40%K -9.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.50%E -2.63%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 23:54
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 23:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.74%E -3.91%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-24 23:55
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-24 23:55
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.18%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.07%E -3.55%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-24 23:55
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.38%EV -12.36%E -4.58%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.64%EV -14.55%E -7.10%K -13.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -9.48%E -2.71%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-27 16:50
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 32.98%EV -14.64%E -5.57%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.34%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -15.95%E -4.91%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-24 23:55
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -14.96%E -5.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -17.24%E -5.39%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-22 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50