Language:English
Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Waldhof Mannheim (Local)
Prediction 29.42%3.40fair odd
EV +2.96%
Edge +0.847%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.67%29.16%29.43%31.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.093.103.5037.04%32.35%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)
Prediction 44.51%2.25fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -5.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%44.74%44.61%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.05%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.07%3.84fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -0.816%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.44%26.10%25.96%27.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.423.403.7532.05%29.22%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 29.42%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit): 44.51%; Draw: 26.07%. For Waldhof Mannheim (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.96%E +0.847%K +1.19%G +0.035% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.51%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.88%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.24%E -0.598%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 09:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 16:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-07 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -14.09%E -7.30%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 16:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-07 16:38 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.58%E -5.18%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-07 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-07 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-07 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-07 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-08-07 16:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.87%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-07 04:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 16:55 |
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