The School of Odds

Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf

2026-08-07 17:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prediction 32.01%3.12fair odd
EV -7.16%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.01%32.01%32.01%32.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.902.902.902.90MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
32.01%3.124Min
32.01%3.124Max
32.01%3.124Mean
32.01%3.124Median
32.01%3.124IQM
32.01%3.124Margin-weighted

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)

Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV -7.16%
Edge -3.26%
Kelly -5.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.20%42.20%42.20%42.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.202.202.20MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
42.20%2.370Min
42.20%2.370Max
42.20%2.370Mean
42.20%2.370Median
42.20%2.370IQM
42.20%2.370Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 25.79%3.88fair odd
EV -7.16%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%25.79%25.79%25.79%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.603.603.603.60MINMEANMEDIANMAX
All estimators
25.79%3.878Min
25.79%3.878Max
25.79%3.878Mean
25.79%3.878Median
25.79%3.878IQM
25.79%3.878Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWaldhof Mannheim (Local) ▼Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48% NM 32.01%EV -7.16% E -2.47% K -3.77% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.20%EV -7.16% E -3.26% K -5.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.79%EV -7.16% E -1.99% K -2.75% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth