Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inizio: 2026-08-07 17:01 UTC

Finale: Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Waldhof Mannheim (Casa)

Previsione 29.42%3.40quota equa
EV +2.96%
Vantaggio +0.847%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.67%29.16%29.43%31.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.093.103.5037.04%32.35%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.51%2.25quota equa
EV -6.08%
Vantaggio -2.88%
Kelly -5.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.11

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.39%44.74%44.61%46.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.05%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.07%3.84quota equa
EV -2.24%
Vantaggio -0.598%
Kelly -0.816%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.44%26.10%25.96%27.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.423.403.7532.05%29.22%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Waldhof Mannheim (Casa): 29.42%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta): 44.51%; Pareggio: 26.07%. Per Waldhof Mannheim (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.40. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.96%.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.96%E +0.847%K +1.19%G +0.035%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.51%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.24%E -0.598%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 16:45
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 16:25
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -14.09%E -7.30%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 16:30
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:14
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 16:38
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 16:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 16:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.58%E -5.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-07 16:30
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 16:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.87%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 04:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55