Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 17:01 UTC

Score final : Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Prévision 29.42%3.40cote équitable
EV +2.96%
Avantage +0.847%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%29.16%29.43%31.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.093.103.5037.04%32.35%32.26%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.51%2.25cote équitable
EV -6.08%
Avantage -2.88%
Kelly -5.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.39%44.74%44.61%46.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.05%48.78%47.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.07%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.598%
Kelly -0.816%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.44%26.10%25.96%27.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.123.423.403.7532.05%29.22%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Waldhof Mannheim (Local) : 29.42% ; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visiteur) : 44.51% ; Match nul : 26.07%. Pour Waldhof Mannheim (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.40. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.96%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.96%E +0.847%K +1.19%G +0.035%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.51%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.24%E -0.598%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 16:45
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 16:25
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -14.09%E -7.30%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 16:30
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:14
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 16:38
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 16:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 16:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.58%E -5.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-07 16:30
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 16:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.87%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 04:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55