StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Matchstart: 2026-08-07 17:01 UTC

Slutresultat: Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Waldhof Mannheim (Hemma)

Prognos 29.42%3.40rättvist odds
EV +2.96%
Fördel +0.847%
Kelly +1.19%
Tillväxt +0.035%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.67%29.16%29.43%31.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.703.093.103.5037.04%32.35%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Borta)

Prognos 44.51%2.25rättvist odds
EV -6.08%
Fördel -2.88%
Kelly -5.47%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.11

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.39%44.74%44.61%46.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.05%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.07%3.84rättvist odds
EV -2.24%
Fördel -0.598%
Kelly -0.816%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.44%26.10%25.96%27.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.123.423.403.7532.05%29.22%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Waldhof Mannheim (Hemma): 29.42%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Borta): 44.51%; Oavgjort: 26.07%. För Waldhof Mannheim (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.40. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.96%.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.96%E +0.847%K +1.19%G +0.035%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.51%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.24%E -0.598%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 16:45
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 16:25
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -14.09%E -7.30%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 16:30
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:14
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 16:38
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 16:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 16:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.58%E -5.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-07 16:30
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 16:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.87%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 04:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55