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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Waldhof Mannheim v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Início: 2026-08-07 17:01 UTC

Final: Waldhof Mannheim 2–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Waldhof Mannheim (Local)

Previsão 29.42%3.40odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +0.847%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.035%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.67%29.16%29.43%31.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.093.103.5037.04%32.35%32.26%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visitante)

Previsão 44.51%2.25odd justa
EV -6.08%
Vantagem -2.88%
Kelly -5.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.39%44.74%44.61%46.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.042.052.1152.36%49.05%48.78%47.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.07%3.84odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.598%
Kelly -0.816%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.44%26.10%25.96%27.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.123.423.403.7532.05%29.22%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Waldhof Mannheim (Local): 29.42%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visitante): 44.51%; Empate: 26.07%. Para Waldhof Mannheim (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.40. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV +2.96%E +0.847%K +1.19%G +0.035%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV +0.022%E +0.006%K +0.009%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -10.08%E -4.99%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.85%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 16:55
Pinnacle🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.98%EV -3.51%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.97%EV -4.59%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -2.24%E -0.598%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 09:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -5.86%E -1.83%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-07 16:45
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 16:25
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -7.33%E -2.33%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -14.09%E -7.30%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 16:30
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:14
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 16:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.86%EV -6.97%E -3.33%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.57%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Suprabets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.22%EV -8.30%E -4.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -10.06%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-07 16:38
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.15%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 16:25
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -7.86%E -3.80%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.67%E -3.78%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-07 16:10
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-07 16:30
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 16:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -8.80%E -2.84%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.58%E -5.18%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-07 16:30
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -10.27%E -3.37%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -10.97%E -5.49%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -7.46%E -2.10%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-07 16:50
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.52%E -3.11%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-07 16:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.37%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-07 16:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.75%E -3.92%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -8.75%E -4.27%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -13.97%E -4.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-07 16:40
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.73%EV -17.63%E -6.30%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.59%EV -14.98%E -7.84%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 26.68%EV -18.67%E -5.98%K -8.81%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-07 16:40
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -20.57%E -7.62%K -12.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.87%EV -13.20%E -6.77%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -8.76%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 04:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-08-07 16:55