语言:简体中文
MSV Duisburg v TSG Hoffenheim II
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MSV Duisburg (主队)
预测 53.47%1.87公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -2.08%
Kelly -4.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
51.32%53.47%53.51%54.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.721.701.8062.50%58.30%58.82%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
TSG Hoffenheim II (客队)
预测 23.39%4.27公平赔率
EV -1.75%
优势 -0.417%
Kelly -0.548%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.13%23.42%23.38%24.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.873.854.2028.57%25.87%25.97%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.14%4.32公平赔率
EV -0.750%
优势 -0.175%
Kelly -0.228%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.29
博彩公司预测分布
21.85%23.10%23.10%25.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.833.754.2930.77%26.14%26.67%23.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MSV Duisburg (主队)：53.47%；TSG Hoffenheim II (客队)：23.39%；平局：23.14%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.32。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.29，期望值为-0.750%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (39 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 08:13 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV -3.39%E -0.821%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.20%EV -0.750%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -7.49%E -4.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.80%EV -10.64%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.71%E -4.64%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.77%E -7.13%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -13.37%E -8.26%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -24.81%E -7.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.44%E -9.03%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.34%E -6.28%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |