La escuela de los momiosEspañol
MSV Duisburg v TSG Hoffenheim II
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 53.47%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -4.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.32%53.47%53.51%54.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.721.701.8062.50%58.30%58.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visitante)
Predicción 23.39%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.417%
Kelly -0.548%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.13%23.42%23.38%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.873.854.2028.57%25.87%25.97%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.14%4.32momio equitativo
EV -0.750%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.228%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.85%23.10%23.10%25.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.833.754.2930.77%26.14%26.67%23.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 08:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV -3.39%E -0.821%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.20%EV -0.750%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -7.49%E -4.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:14 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.80%EV -10.64%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.71%E -4.64%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.77%E -7.13%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -13.37%E -8.26%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -24.81%E -7.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.44%E -9.03%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.34%E -6.28%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |