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MSV Duisburg v TSG Hoffenheim II
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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MSV Duisburg (Casa)
Previsione 53.47%1.87quota equa
EV -3.75%
Vantaggio -2.08%
Kelly -4.69%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.32%53.47%53.51%54.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.721.701.8062.50%58.30%58.82%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
TSG Hoffenheim II (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.39%4.27quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -0.417%
Kelly -0.548%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.13%23.42%23.38%24.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.873.854.2028.57%25.87%25.97%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.14%4.32quota equa
EV -0.750%
Vantaggio -0.175%
Kelly -0.228%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.85%23.10%23.10%25.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.833.754.2930.77%26.14%26.67%23.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (39 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 08:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV -3.39%E -0.821%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.20%EV -0.750%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -7.49%E -4.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:14 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.80%EV -10.64%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.71%E -4.64%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.77%E -7.13%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -13.37%E -8.26%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -24.81%E -7.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.44%E -9.03%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.34%E -6.28%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |