L’École des cotesFrançais
MSV Duisburg v TSG Hoffenheim II
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prévision 53.47%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -2.08%
Kelly -4.69%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%53.47%53.51%54.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.721.701.8062.50%58.30%58.82%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
TSG Hoffenheim II (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.39%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.13%23.42%23.38%24.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.873.854.2028.57%25.87%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.14%4.32cote équitable
EV -0.750%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.228%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%23.10%23.10%25.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.833.754.2930.77%26.14%26.67%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 08:13 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV -3.39%E -0.821%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.20%EV -0.750%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -7.49%E -4.33%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Betway | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Bovada | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:14 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 23.80%EV -10.64%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 09:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-18 11:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-18 10:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.71%E -4.64%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.77%E -7.13%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -13.37%E -8.26%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -24.81%E -7.63%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.44%E -9.03%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.34%E -6.28%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |