A Escola das Odds

MSV Duisburg v TSG Hoffenheim II

Início: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: MSV Duisburg 3–1 TSG Hoffenheim II

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Previsão 53.47%1.87odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -4.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.32%53.47%53.51%54.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.601.721.701.8062.50%58.30%58.82%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

TSG Hoffenheim II (Visitante)

Previsão 23.39%4.27odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.417%
Kelly -0.548%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.13%23.42%23.38%24.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.873.854.2028.57%25.87%25.97%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.14%4.32odd justa
EV -0.750%
Vantagem -0.175%
Kelly -0.228%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.85%23.10%23.10%25.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.833.754.2930.77%26.14%26.67%23.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -3.75%E -2.08%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 08:13
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:55
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:55
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.35%E -3.02%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:55
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -5.89%E -3.35%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -6.42%E -3.67%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:30
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 54.74%EV -6.96%E -4.00%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.06%EV -3.39%E -0.821%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.20%EV -0.750%E -0.175%K -0.228%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:05
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.73%EV -7.49%E -4.33%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.14%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -1.75%E -0.417%K -0.548%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.15%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.49%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:15
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -2.83%E -0.674%K -0.885%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:05
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 11:15
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -7.60%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -8.62%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:14
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 53.48%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 23.80%EV -10.64%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -7.46%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 09:59
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 11:30
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -9.94%E -2.58%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -10.93%E -2.84%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 10:55
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 10:55
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 11:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.76%EV -9.10%E -5.35%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -8.77%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -14.40%E -3.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 11:15
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -6.43%E -1.61%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -9.77%E -2.51%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.22%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:29
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -18.13%E -5.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.09%E -3.18%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-18 10:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.70%E -6.41%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.71%E -4.64%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-18 11:30
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 53.36%EV -11.77%E -7.13%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -11.11%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -13.24%E -3.53%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.32%EV -13.37%E -8.26%K -21.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.10%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.58%EV -24.81%E -7.63%K -11.03%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-18 11:30
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 52.22%EV -14.44%E -9.03%K -24.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.21%EV -15.79%E -4.39%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -21.34%E -6.28%K -8.89%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-18 10:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.53%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-18 11:30