Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

MSV Duisburg v SV Meppen

2026-08-08 12:00 UTC — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Prediction 64.16%1.56fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -10.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.67%64.16%63.09%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.4872.46%69.71%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Meppen (Visit)

Prediction 15.74%6.35fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +0.587%
Kelly +0.691%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.97%15.74%16.40%18.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.385.506.6021.28%18.58%18.18%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.10%4.98fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -0.928%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.21%20.10%20.50%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.364.404.8025.00%22.94%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.82%EV -11.46%E -8.30%K -30.14%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.97%EV +3.87%E +0.587%K +0.691%G +0.027%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -3.53%E -0.734%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -9.56%E -2.12%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 18:25
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 19:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-28 19:54
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.09%EV -8.25%E -5.77%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -13.44%E -2.44%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.50%EV -11.56%E -2.63%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-28 19:54
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 62.77%EV -8.89%E -6.26%K -21.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.51%EV -15.01%E -2.78%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -13.57%E -3.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-28 19:54
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -7.61%E -5.28%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -21.31%E -4.26%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -19.60%E -4.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-28 19:55
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.80%EV -10.17%E -7.27%K -25.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.22%EV -25.24%E -5.31%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.98%EV -12.97%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-28 19:19
Winamax (DE)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.67%EV -5.04%E -3.40%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -26.03%E -5.54%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%EV -17.59%E -4.29%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-27 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-26 09:50