MSV Duisburg v SV Meppen

2026-08-08 12:00 — 3. Liga - Germany

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

66%

14%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Prediction 66.08%1.51fair odd

EV -7.48%

Edge -5.35%

Kelly -18.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

66.08%66.08%66.08%66.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.401.401.401.40MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

66.08%1.513Min

66.08%1.513Max

66.08%1.513Mean

66.08%1.513Median

66.08%1.513IQM

66.08%1.513Margin-weighted

SV Meppen (Visit)

Prediction 14.23%7.03fair odd

EV -7.48%

Edge -1.15%

Kelly -1.36%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.23%14.23%14.23%14.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

6.506.506.506.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

14.23%7.026Min

14.23%7.026Max

14.23%7.026Mean

14.23%7.026Median

14.23%7.026IQM

14.23%7.026Margin-weighted

Draw

Prediction 19.68%5.08fair odd

EV -7.48%

Edge -1.59%

Kelly -2.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.68%19.68%19.68%19.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.704.704.704.70MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

19.68%5.080Min

19.68%5.080Max

19.68%5.080Mean

19.68%5.080Median

19.68%5.080IQM

19.68%5.080Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	MSV Duisburg (Local) ▼	SV Meppen (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
Tipico (DE)	1.40I 71.43% NM 66.08%EV -7.48% E -5.35% K -18.71% G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38% NM 14.23%EV -7.48% E -1.15% K -1.36% G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28% NM 19.68%EV -7.48% E -1.59% K -2.02% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-08 21:35

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth