Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

MSV Duisburg v SV Meppen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 12:03 UTC

Score final : MSV Duisburg 3–0 SV Meppen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Prévision 62.18%1.61cote équitable
EV -4.86%
Avantage -3.18%
Kelly -9.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.36%62.17%62.29%64.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.75%68.97%65.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SV Meppen (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.14%6.19cote équitable
EV +6.22%
Avantage +0.946%
Kelly +1.12%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 6.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.40%16.18%16.04%18.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.395.206.5821.74%18.55%19.23%15.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.67%4.61cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +0.841%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.043%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.57%21.65%21.67%23.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.304.8026.67%23.25%23.26%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : MSV Duisburg (Local) : 62.18% ; SV Meppen (Visiteur) : 16.14% ; Match nul : 21.67%. Pour SV Meppen (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.19. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.58, soit une espérance positive de +6.22%.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.76%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.40%EV +6.22%E +0.946%K +1.12%G +0.069%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 11:45
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.23%EV -9.21%E -6.31%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV +1.70%E +0.270%K +0.321%G +0.005%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.35%EV -15.69%E -4.03%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.088%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.14%E -0.524%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.48%EV -15.43%E -11.35%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.30%E -3.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:54
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -11.70%E -8.24%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 11:48
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04%EV -7.35%E -4.93%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -12.83%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +4.04%E +0.841%K +1.06%G +0.043%6.5%2026-08-08 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:19
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 11:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -23.32%E -4.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-08 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-08 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-08 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-08-08 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-08-08 11:55